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News 29301 to News 29310 of about 29675 news within page 2931
29301. 29/09/2001
   
Investment advisor Surf88.com examines the prospects for palm oilCRUDE palm oil price below RM1,000 per tonne. The price of crude palm oil(CPO) has fallen below RM1,000 per tonne since mid-September. Beforeinvestors rush to cut exposure to plantation stocks, let us take a look atthe latest global demand and supply of edible oils, and the implicationson CPO.The Indian factor: The turn in sentiment was triggered by sluggish demandfrom India on expectations of a good local harvest, and alsodisappointment that India has maintained its high palm oil import dutyafter a seemingly positive meeting between the Malaysian and Indian PrimeMinisters. The recent depreciation of the Indian rupee against the USdollar was another dampener. We understand that Indian demand has remainedsluggish in the past two weeks or so, with no firm major orders for thecoming weeks.Meanwhile, the US catastrophe ignited concern that Pakistan buyers,another major im-porter of palm oil, may not be able to raise letter ofcredits (LCs) to fund their purchases.What could change? One possible factor that could reverse the trend wouldbe a deterioration in the current soyabean and groundnut crop, which wouldnecessitate India to import more. We note recent reports citing lessfa-vourable weather conditions in India, which albeit preliminary, is atrend which should be monitored. We would also keenly watch the rupee andthe Indian government’s stance on the currency. As for Pakistan, thesituation is in a flux given the potential US retaliation and as such palmoil import is unlikely to be top on the agenda in the short term.Nonetheless, in-dications of fresh demand from Pakistan last Friday didperk up a sluggish market, with CPO futures spiking up to RM992 per tonnefor the month of October.Short term price subdued: Short-term fluctuations notwithstanding, the CPOmarket is still in a situation where medium-term supply is shrinking butshort-term demand sluggish. It is hard to see a sustained breakout underthe circumstances. Nonetheless, we see no reason to sell now as the weakdemand phase looks temporary while the medium-term demand picture shouldimprove to support a better price outlook, possibly in the 4th quarter.Soyabean crop estimate reduced: Recall two months ago when we firsthighlighted that ac-tual planting of soyabean in the US was about 2% belowexpectations. Based on the latest crop development, production will alsofall short of initial expectations. The latest production estimate hasbeen cut back by 1.2% to show only a marginal increase from a year ago.There may still be room for further downward revision in view ofdrier-than-expected weather in the Mid-West.Sunflower seed production not looking good: Other than soyabean oil,production of sunflower seed is also below expectations with likelihood ofan eight-year low. Sunflower oil is a major oil, ranking number four inthe world with a 10% global market share.Where does this leave us? Global stocks of edible oil are expected todecline for the first time in three years, while the stocks/consumptionratio is forecast to fall to a record low. Palm oil stock in Malaysia hastumbled from an all-time high of 1.5 million tonnes in November last yearto under 0.9 million tonnes in August this year. Some other local positivefactors we have discussed before include the high possibility of eventighter palm oil supply next year given the good response to thegovernment’s replanting programme which is ex-pected to reduce plantedarea by 5%.Shorter term, CPO prices may remain subdued due to the seasonal productionupturn and the uncertainties over export demand, but we believe theseshould clear up by November for CPO price to resume its strength. Ourex-pectation of CPO price to return to RM1,000 per tonne by year-end andRM1,200 next year.Plantation stocks are inherently resilient: Notwithstanding the CPO priceoutlook, plantation stocks are inherently resilient due to theirabove-average cash flows, balance sheet and generally good management.Quite a few also offer above-average dividend yields. As their resiliencehelps in the immediate trying times, there is the recovery potentialharnes-sed by improved CPO price outlook nearer year-end.Against this background, we would certainly hold on to our plantationspicks at this point in time. In fact, we would look to buy IOI Corp(RM3.38), PPB Oil Palms (RM1.85), United Plantations (RM3) and Chin Teck(RM3.90) should the KLSE fall further under the influence of Wall Street.In terms of technical price targets, we would look to accumulate IOI Corpat below RM3.20, PPB Oil Palms at below RM1.70, United Plantations atbelow RM3, and Chin Teck at below RM3.80. Meanwhile, we would hold KLK, Hi& Lo and Unico-Desa.
29302. 29/09/2001
   
Friday, September 28, 2001 - PALM oil exports to Pakistan and West Asiancountries may be reduced if the US were to attack Af-ghanistan, primaryindustries minister Datuk Seri Dr Lim Keng Yaik said.The reduction would be due to disruption in shipping lanes, and not due toa drop in demand or lack of insurance cover, he told a press conference athis office in Kuala Lumpur yesterday.Lim said Pakistan and Egypt were among the biggest purchasers of Malaysianpalm oil, accounting for 20% to 25% of Malaysia's exports or 1.7 milliontonnes out of some 9 million tonnes produced in the country.However, he said, palm oil exports could still go to Pakistan via India.Lim said the US was not a major purchaser of Malaysian palm oil and theother major importers were India and China.He said Malaysian exports of palm oil to China could touch one milliontonnes annually following that country’s accession to the World TradeOrganisation. China imports 1.5 million tonnes of palm oil each year. –Bernama
29303. 29/09/2001
   
KARACHI (Business Recorder ) 09/27/2001 - The Trading Corporation ofPakistan (TCP) on Wednesday sold 8,650 metric tonnes of imported soybeanoil for more than Rs 328.76 million through an auction. Chairman TCP, SyedMasood Alam Rizvi, said that a large number of bidders participated in theauction held at the corporation's office located in Lahore.In all, 42 ghee and cooking oil units and commercial importers registeredwith TCP participated in the fourth auction.The TCP sold soybean oil at the rates ranging between Rs 38.002 to Rs38,011 per tonne.He said the corporation sold seven lots of 30 tonnes, 23 lots of 100tonnes, four lots of 250 tonnes and 10 lots of 300 tonnes.It may be noted that the TCP had floated a tender for the auction of10,000 tonnes of soybean oil on Sept 21.The United States government will supply 163,000 tonnes of soybean and75,000 tonnes of soybean oil worth $80 million to Pakistan under the aid.The corporation had earlier sold 4,250 tonnes and 6,700 tonnes at Karachiand 4,000 tonnes at Lahore in three auctions.The auction was held in pursuance of TCP's auction notice dated September20, 2001, the 4th auction for a quantity of 10,000 tonnes imported soybeanoil of US origin under 416(b) programme in TCP's Regional Office on 1stFloor, LDA Plaza, Egerton Road, Lahore.The auction commenced at 1100 hours on Wednesday, September 26, 2001.About 42 ghee/cooking oil units and commercial importers registered withTCP participated in the auction.The total cost of 8,650 tonnes of soybean oil sold comes to Rs328,760,400.
29304. 27/09/2001
   
MUMBAI, Sept. 23 (Business Line) - FOLLOWING imposition of tariff valuesand advent of domestic oilseed harvest season, there has been asignificant slowdown in Indian purchases of various palm oils. After ashort- lived rally in July, the overseas market is forced to seek lowerlevels over the last four weeks as Indian demand declined.If any proof of import slowdown was required, it is here. In the first 20days of the current month, a mere 25,000 tonnes were shipped out fromMalaysia to India, according to shipment data compiled by internationalsurveyors SGS (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd. This comprised about 13,400 tonnes ofrefined palm oil, 5,200 tonnes of refined palmolein and 6,500 tonnes ofcrude palm oil.During August, a record volume of 6.5 lakh tonnes arrived in the countryand in July 5.2 lakh tonnes. For the current month, arrivals are projectedat about 3.5 lakh tonnes, mainly soft oils (degummed soyabean oil) andcrude palm oil. October imports may be even lower. Aggregate importsduring oil year November 2000-October 2001 will be about 48 lakh tonnes,slightly up from 45 lakh tonnes of last year.Will tariff values be revised down? With the slide in palm oil prices inMalaysia, there is renewed expectation of a downward revision in tariffvalues for palm oils here. Large arrivals in July and August kept thedomestic market well fed until recently; but pipeline stocks have startedto dry up as further imports are dwindling.This can lead to a sudden price spurt, especially at the time of impendingfestivals. A weakening rupee too is bullish for the edible oil market.Poor import commitment for September and October because of acutedisparity between local and international prices may lead to tightening ofsupplies and price spikes here. At the current overseas market prices (butassessed at much higher tariff value), palm oil imports have become anunviable business.Also, the upcoming US military action has the potential to disruptinternational cargo movement for several days. In anticipation of priceincrease, some importers and stockists have reportedly gone slow on theirsales programme.However, the policy makers will ride on the horns of a dilemma. Reductionin tariff values will push overseas prices up, result in revenue reductionand depress domestic oilseeds and oils prices. With the kharif oilseedharvest ready to commence, any tinkering with the customs duty or tariffvalues will have to be a carefully calibrated exercise.New crop oilseed prices are likely to come under pressure, notwithstandingthe sharp increase in minimum support price announced recently. NationalAgricultural Cooperative Marketing Federation of India (NAFED) has alreadyindicated its intention to step in to support prices by procuring aboutfive lakh tonnes.
29305. 27/09/2001
   
ISLAMABAD, 9/27/2001(Financial Times Information Limited) - Pakistan isinching towards sever shortage of palm oil as commodity's supply hasdiscontinued due to danger of looming US attack on Afghanistan. Theimporters of palm oil could neither get their due shipments nor place neworders as none of the shipping companies were ready to sail to Pakistanafter the air crash incidents in New York and Washington.Talking to Business Recorder, President Pakistan Ghee Manufacturers,Shaikh Ikram said: "The country is facing alarming situation as palm oilstocks are shrinking quickly. We have informed the concerned quarters thatif the blockade continued it would result in shooting up of prices."According to market analysts, cooking oil and ghee price may increase from10 percent to 15 percent after two weeks if supply of imported palm oleinand palm oil could not be restored.When contacted an official of the Commerce Ministry said the governmentwas weighing various options for the restoration of palm oil supply fromMalaysia including one, war-risk premium.Price of cooking oil and ghee are already touching an all time high in theopen market due to difference between tanker owners and palm oil importerson fares from Karachi to various cities.Pakistan has palm oil stocks for two weeks and the government wasexpecting some positive development before the situation aggravates, hopesthe official.Sensing the gravity of the situation, the Federation of Pakistan Chambersof Commerce and Industry (FPCCI) had already warned the government thatthe blockade might take a turn for the worse if the supply remainedsuspended for a long time. In particular, it mentioned commodities forwhich Pakistan is dependent on other countries.The FPCCI demanded that the government should formulate a contingency planwith the private sector's involvement to cope with the situationconfronted with the country.In the case of a number of essential items, Pakistan heavily depends onother countries. Palm oil, tea, chemicals, life saving drugs, fertiliserswere included in the list of imported items.
29306. 27/09/2001
   
26 September 2000(Business Times) - CANOLA oil is one of the earliestexamples of a food product modified to enhance its nutritional value.Canola, a low erucic acid rapeseed oil, was developed because ofnutritional concerns with the fatty acid, erucic acid. Today, canola oilis said to be one of the healthiest oils available because of thecombination of its low saturated and high monounsaturated fatty acidprofile as well as its unique level of the Omega-3 fatty acid,alpha-linolenic acid. The oil comes from the seeds harvested from thecanola plant. The cool climes of western Canada are most suitable for thecultivation of canola plants which produce bunches of yellow flowers thatdrop to reveal green pods that ripen and turn brown. Inside the pods aretiny round seeds from which the oil is extracted. The seeds are rolled orflaked to make it easier to extract the oil. The oil is then processedinto salad oils, margarines, and shortenings. Canola oil is favoured foruse as a cooking oil because it is light, clear and does not have adistinctive flavour. The oil is excellent for cooking! It doesn't transferfood flavours in fondues or deep fryers (strain oil before re-using). Ithas a high smoke point (temperature at which fat begins to break down andemit smoke), making it most suitable for deepfrying and it drains morethoroughly than melted shortening. You can use it in salads as it does notsolidify even when refrigerated and won't separate from other saladdressing ingredients. In fact, it helps to better blend dressingingredients. It's great for baking as you can lower the saturated fatcontent in your baking by replacing other fats with canola oil or by usingit to grease cake pans and cookie sheets.In Malaysia, canola oil is sold under the brand name Mazolar CanolaCooking Oil which is:* High in monunsaturated fatty acids which help reduce cholesterol levels.* A good source of tocopherol (otherwise known as Vitamin E) which acts asa natural anti-oxidant* Contains Omega-3, the anti-thrombotic agent that helps in reduction ofblood clots.* Good source of beneficial dietary energy* Does not solidify even when refrigerated
29307. 26/09/2001
   
26 September 2001(Business Times) - MALAYSIA’S commodity sector is notexpected to be adversely hit by low demands and poor sales unlike someother sectors if the US decides to attack Afghanistan, Primary IndustriesMinister Datuk Seri Dr Lim Keng Yaik said.He said the sector mainly comprising of palm oil, rubber, timber and otherraw materials will not be as hard hit as the electrical and electronics (Eand E) sector.“It is still too early to say but some pros and cons will develop onMalaysia’s commodities in which higher or lower demand may be seen.“But I expect it won’t be substantial,” Dr Lim told reporters in KualaLumpur yesterday after officiating a conference on electronic commerce onstrategies for penetrating markets organised by the Malaysian Investors’Association.Dr Lim was asked to comment on the effect of US retaliation towardsterrorist attacks in New York and Washington on September 11 on the localcommodities and whether the commodity will stand out to be the saviour inthe event of a global recession.Malaysia was affected by the regional economic downturn of 1997 but wascushioned by its wide spectrum of economic activities, notably sales ofits broad range of commodities namely palm oil, timber and rubber.Similarly, prices of the world’s commodities such as crude oil, gold, tin,palm oil and rubber increased during the Gulf War in 1990.Dr Lim said developed countries are so tied up in building up theirhardware to go full swing into war, which may result in their economiesgoing into a recession.“The possible war may increase the prospects of a global recession but atthe same time more war machinery need to be built, which in turn willtrigger greater demands from other sectors,” he said, citing the KoreanWar in the 1950s as an example in which prices of natural rubberincreased.“The US would need more rubber to build their war machines but it is stillto premature to speculate,” he said.Dr Lim said it is still too early to say what effects the possible warwill have overall but increased purchases of Malaysia’s palm oil byPakistan of late has been a positive development.“Prices of palm oil increased by as much as RM50 a tonne and reports ofpalm oil shipments to Pakistan being disrupted are not true,” he said.He said India and China, Malaysia’s first and second biggest palm oilbuyers respectively, may also want to start stock-piling palm oil andtimber in view of the possibility of supply disruptions and the USmilitary campaigning against terrorists.He also dismissed reports by a foreign wire agency there will be ashortage in rubber supply if war breaks out.“The Tripartite Rubber Cooperation consisting of the world’s top threerubber producers formed early this month will regulate supply and demand,”he said.Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia account 85 per cent of the world’s rubberproduction with a combined output of some 4.4 million tonnes last year.Malaysia is the world’s largest producer of palm oil, producing some 11million tonnes last year of which nine million tonnes were exported
29308. 26/09/2001
   
26 September 2001 (Business Times) - RECOGNISING the potential of anelectronic-commerce (e-commerce) in boosting sales of commodities, theGovernment has established three Internet portals for natural rubber, palmoil and timber and will continue to set up more for other crops.Primary Industries Minister Datuk Seri Dr Lim Keng Yeik said the portalshave enabled commodity-related companies to have a wider business reach.“By having an infrastructure such as the Internet portal, Malaysia’scommodities can have a wider market and can achieve higher sales.“E-commerce will help Malaysia’s palm oil, rubber, timber, furniture andother raw materials have a wider market and wider sales revenues,” he toldreporters after opening a conference on e-commerce — Strategies forpenetrating markets in Kuala Lumpur yesterday.As an example, he cited Goldman Sachs as saying that by 2004, 12 per centof all agricultural sales in the US will be conducted over the Internetcompared to only 4 per cent in 1999.E-commerce simply means business transactions conducted over the Internet.Dr Lim said the three main portals, for natural rubber, palm oil andtimber, were established to achieve that goal.For the rubber industry, a memorandum of understanding has been signedbetween the Multimedia Development Corp (MDC) and the Malaysian RubberBoard to establish a rubber portal.“The model proposed will provide the e-business component, carry out thehosting and search for processors, manufacturers and consumers, as well asprovide the facilities for rubber communities to interact with oneanother,” Dr Lim said.He said the portal would allow small players to directly participate inthe rubber trade and slowly phase out the current trading system.“The Government is trying to change the conventional whispering type oftrading of natural rubber which has been in existence since 15 years ago,”he said.In the timber industry, the Malaysian Timber Council is jointly developinga portal with Virtual One Sdn Bhd, a subsidiary of MDC to promote andexport Malaysia’s timber products through Malaysian Trade ElectronicExchange (MTeX).Dr Lim said as global competition increases, Malaysian timber companiesshould involve themselves in e-commerce as it will be the marketing mediumof the future.In the palm oil business, he said ePOMEX, the world’s first electronicpalm oil exchange for trading and physical delivery of palm oil products,has already been put in place.He said ePOMEX will go on “live” on October 1 for domestic transactionsand would be available to international players from the first quarter ofnext year.“The 24-hour seven days a week ePOMEX is essentially an electronicmarketplace or trading floor bringing together growers, millers, refiners,manufacturers and traders to provide online transactions for buyers andsellers of palm oil products,” he said.With the establishment of ePOMEX, Dr Lim said different time zones aroundthe world is not a barrier to conduct palm oil business anymore.“This improves market coverage for sellers and becomes sources of supplyfor buyers and also enhances price transparency in the market place,” hesaid.Dr Lim said Malaysian companies must speed up the process becausedeveloped countries such as the US, Japan, Canada and Australia are farahead in utilising e-commerce for trading.Malaysia achieved a trade expansion of 20.3 per cent with a total tradevalue of RM685.7 billion which was three times its gross domestic productand was ranked the world’s 17th largest trading nation last year.However, only a fraction or around 4 per cent of this trade was conductedvia e-commerce.The business-to-business, one of the various facets of e-commerce in Asiaalone, was worth around US$40 billion (US$1 = RM3.80) last year and isexpected to reach a value of US$900 billion by 2005. Malaysia’s e-commerceis expected to reach US$1 billion by 2003.
29309. 25/09/2001
   
Kuala Lumpur, September 24, 2001 - CRUDE palm oil futures prices on theMalaysia Derivatives Exchange (MDEX) plunged sharply in early trading onfears that the US military operations in the Arabian Sea would hinder palmoil shipment to Pakistan. The sell-off move was short-lived as aggressivetechnical and short-covering buying emerged when the market slipped belowthe nine hundred ringgit per tonne level and lifted the market to closeFriday slightly higher.The December futures ranged widely from an intra-week’s high of RM999 toRM890 and settled the week moderately higher at RM993, up RM11 per tonnefrom a week ago.
29310. 25/09/2001
   
BOMBAY, Sep 23 (Reuters) - India's edible oil imports are likely to fallby over six percent next year as domestic production of oilseedsincreases, a leading industry official said on Sunday.Edible oil imports are likely to fall to 5.15 million tonnes in the yearending October 2002 from an estimated 5.5 million tonnes in the currentyear, Dorab E. Mistry, Director of Godrej International Ltd, told avegetable oil conference.He estimated India's edible oil production at 8.21 million tonnes nextyear, up from 7.16 million tonnes."Projected bumper crops in the forthcoming oil year will add one milliontonnes to the supply of oil but will reduce imports by just 350,000tonnes," he told the Globoil India conference.The balance will be taken up by normal growth in per capita consumption, arise in population and re-building of stocks, said Mistry, who is based inLondon.Godrej International is a leading global trading house.According to industry estimates, India's winter-harvest oilseedsproduction is likely to rise to 17 million tonnes in 2001/02 from 15.8million the previous year.He said palm oil imports could fall to 3.15 million tonnes from 3.64million during the review period, while imports of soyoil may rise to 1.6million tonnes from 1.37 million tonnes."If South America expands soybean cultivation by another 10 to 15 percent,the pressure from soybean oil on palm in the months April to August 2002could be awesome," Mistry said.He said India will continue to import large volumes of soyoil, unless itreduces import duties on crude palm oil (CPO) and refined, bleached anddeodorised (RBD) palm olein. "This creates a dark cloud over palm."India imposed its heaviest-ever duty of 85 percent on RBD palm olein and75 percent on CPO in February. But the duty on soyoil remained unchangedat 45 percent due to the country's commitment in the World TradeOrganisation.
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ECONOMICS & INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT DIVISION
Malaysian Palm Oil Board ( MPOB ) Lot 6, SS6, Jalan Perbandaran, 47301 Kelana Jaya, Selangor Darul Ehsan, MALAYSIA.
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