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Nur Aisha Abd. Wahab


The Star Online



Oil prices stable amid sanctions and OPEC cuts(Update)

The Star Online (15/03/2019) - SINGAPORE: Oil prices were steady on Friday amid support from ongoing supply cuts led by OPEC and U.S. sanctions on Venezuela and Iran, but weighed down by concerns that an economic slowdown will soon start denting growth in fuel demand.

International benchmark Brent crude oil futures were at $67.16 per barrel at 0029 GMT, down 7 cents from their last close, but still within a dollar of the $68.14 per barrel 2019-high reached the previous day.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures were at $58.53 per barrel, down 8 cents from their last settlement, and also not far off their 2019-high of $58.74 from the previous day.

Despite Friday's dips, crude has gained around a quarter in value since the start of the year.

"Crude oil continues to grind higher ... in response to ongoing production cuts from the OPEC+ group of producers as well as another (output) slump from a blacked-out Venezuela," said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Denmark's Saxo Bank.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-affiliated allies such as Russia - known as the OPEC+ alliance - has pledged to withhold 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) in crude supply since the start of the year to tighten markets and prop up prices.

Meanwhile, a political and economic crisis in Venezuela combined with U.S. sanctions against Venezuela as well as Iran, have further tightened oil markets.

Holding crude back crude prices from rising further have been concerns that a global economic slowdown that has gripped large parts of Asia and Europe, and which is showing signs of spilling into North America, will soon dent growth in demand for oil.

"(But), worries about growth and future demand for crude oil remain just worries at this stage," said Saxo Bank's Hansen.

Crude oil use by China's refineries in the first two months of 2019 rose 6.1 percent from a year earlier to a record 12.68 million bpd, official data showed this week. – Reuters

Earlier report:

Oil price wavers as Opec pushes supply cut need

NEW YORK: Oil prices were mixed on Thursday after hitting 2019 highs as OPEC stressed the need to extend its production cut program past June while lowering its forecast for crude demand.

Uncertainty over the progress of U.S.-China trade talks and global economic growth weighed on oil prices.

Brent crude hit a four-month peak of $68.14 per barrel before falling to $67.19 by 2:23 p.m. EST (1823 GMT), down 36 cents, from Wednesday's close.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures edged up 29 cents to $58.55.

Oil rallied on Wednesday on U.S. government data showing a surprise fall in crude inventory and a lower-than-expected estimate of U.S. crude production growth.

In its monthly report released on Thursday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries cut the forecast for demand for its crude this year and predicted strong growth in non-OPEC supply.

OPEC's bearish demand outlook was offset by its apparent resolve to extend crude output cuts, agreed to by its members and allied producers, which have helped oil prices rise more than 20 percent this year.

"That's probably a reflection of the price fluctuation we've seen in today's prices," said Phil Streible, senior commodities strategist at RJO Futures in Chicago.

Fresh concerns about the global economy weighed on oil prices.

President Donald Trump said on Thursday the United States was doing well in trade talks with China, but that he could not say whether a final deal would be reached.

Bloomberg reported earlier that a meeting between the presidents of the United States and China to resolve a trade dispute had been delayed, briefly sending futures lower.

Data showing China's industrial output grew 5.3 percent in January and February, the slowest pace of expansion in 17 years, also limited gains, Flynn said.

In the U.S., a Commerce Department report showed sales of new U.S. single-family homes fell more than expected in January, suggesting housing market weakness early in the first quarter.

Supply disruptions out of OPEC members Venezuela and Iran helped support oil prices.

Amid political turmoil in Venezuela, two storage tanks exploded at a heavy-crude upgrading project in the east of the country on Wednesday, according to an oil industry source and a legislator.

The country's main oil terminal resumed shipments after a prolonged blackout.

Two sources told Reuters that the United States aims to curb Iran's crude exports by about 20 percent to below 1 million barrels per day from May, likely reining in waivers for Tehran's remaining customers. – Reuters

Read more at https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2019/03/15/oil-wavers-as-opec-pushes-supply-cut-need-demand-fears-weigh/#WdG0zkGqCHtwHvG8.99